Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.081198 0.093844 0.107804 0.124355 0.143446 0.164781 0.190439
2025-12-28 0.063235 0.080762 0.102093 0.129965 0.165443 0.209128 0.267067
2026-01-04 0.052821 0.072348 0.097793 0.133381 0.181915 0.245869 0.336708
2026-01-11 0.045632 0.066169 0.094459 0.136285 0.196622 0.280650 0.406857
2026-01-18 0.039772 0.060589 0.090681 0.137361 0.208059 0.311339 0.474153
2026-01-25 0.034467 0.054877 0.085681 0.135564 0.214473 0.334789 0.532851
2026-02-01 0.029603 0.049074 0.079636 0.131111 0.215841 0.350178 0.580238
2026-02-08 0.026924 0.046329 0.077919 0.133095 0.227320 0.382212 0.657364
2026-02-15 0.024388 0.043457 0.075574 0.133613 0.236198 0.410632 0.731300
2026-02-22 0.022419 0.041286 0.074098 0.135324 0.247110 0.443343 0.815919
2026-03-01 0.020036 0.038068 0.070398 0.132588 0.249683 0.461543 0.876308
2026-03-08 0.018056 0.035343 0.067250 0.130433 0.252941 0.481077 0.940951
2026-03-15 0.016720 0.033715 0.066006 0.131832 0.263259 0.515150 1.037949
2026-03-22 0.016053 0.033322 0.067072 0.137840 0.283226 0.569787 1.181690
2026-03-29 0.015177 0.032395 0.066969 0.141463 0.298764 0.617275 1.316264
2026-04-05 0.014328 0.031416 0.066638 0.144543 0.313461 0.664502 1.455474
2026-04-12 0.013378 0.030104 0.065465 0.145685 0.324133 0.704416 1.583424
2026-04-19 0.012259 0.028291 0.063023 0.143778 0.327931 0.730043 1.682785
2026-04-26 0.011033 0.026091 0.059501 0.139056 0.324898 0.740406 1.748821
2026-05-03 0.010443 0.025290 0.059002 0.141160 0.337630 0.787109 1.903735
2026-05-10 0.009793 0.024272 0.057896 0.141710 0.346762 0.826484 2.045644
2026-05-17 0.009282 0.023529 0.057349 0.143524 0.359086 0.874490 2.213643
2026-05-24 0.008523 0.022088 0.054984 0.140622 0.359537 0.894205 2.313773